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Federal Procurement

Develop the Point Estimate

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Develop the Point Estimate

Glossary

A glossary tracked by Bureauify. See sources and related records below.

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Step 7

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Why does Step 7: Develop the Point Estimate matter?

Apply the selected estimating methodologies to the collected data to produce a single point estimate for each WBS element. This step involves building cost estimating relationships (CERs), applying learning curves, developing labor-hour estimates, and aggregating bottom-up engineering estimates. The point estimate represents the most likely cost before risk and uncertainty adjustments.

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Key Activities

  • 1.Develop and validate cost estimating relationships (CERs) using regression analysis
  • 2.Apply learning curves to production cost elements
  • 3.Build engineering estimates from labor categories, hours, and rates
  • 4.Cross-check results using at least two independent estimating methods
  • 5.Aggregate element-level estimates into the total program estimate

Deliverables

Point estimate by WBS elementCER documentation with statistical validationCross-check comparison of methodsTime-phased cost estimate

Common Pitfalls

  • !Using a single estimating method without cross-checks
  • !Applying learning curves incorrectly or using inappropriate slopes
  • !Not accounting for fee, profit, and government costs in the total estimate

Adjacent Steps

Identify Ground Rules and AssumptionsStep 5Obtain DataStep 6Conduct Sensitivity AnalysisStep 8Conduct Risk and Uncertainty AnalysisStep 9

All Other Steps

Define the Estimate's PurposeStep 1Develop the Estimating PlanStep 2Define Program CharacteristicsStep 3Determine the Estimating Structure (WBS)Step 4Document the EstimateStep 10Present Estimate for Management ApprovalStep 11Update the Estimate to Reflect Actual CostsStep 12

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Frequently Asked Questions

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Cite this page
Bureauify. (2026). Develop the Point Estimate — Federal Contract Intelligence. Bureauify Federal Intelligence. Retrieved , from https://bureauify.com/glossary/develop-point-estimate

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